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Citibank: The upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report is expected to bring more mixed signals
BlockBeats News, December 14th, the Financial Times of the United Kingdom analysis pointed out that the U.S. non-farm payroll report to be released next Tuesday will include data from October and November, finally providing policymakers and investors with a more complete picture of the U.S. labor market, ending months of partial blindness. The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates to a three-year low after a contentious meeting this week, with several officials in dissent, the focus of the debate being whether to prioritize addressing high inflation or a weak job market.
Citigroup economists pointed out that the upcoming latest employment report may release more conflicting signals. The bank expects a decrease of about 45,000 jobs in October, but an increase of 80,000 jobs in November. Citigroup economists stated that this rebound may be more related to seasonal data adjustments rather than a "genuine improvement in worker demand." They also predicted that the unemployment rate will rise from 4.4% to 4.52%, while a Reuters survey of economists shows an unemployment rate of 4.4%. The Fed's own quarterly projections show a median year-end unemployment rate of about 4.5% for this year. (FXStreet)
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